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Data shows evangelical churches will outnumber liberal churches by the middle of the century

Data shows evangelical churches will outnumber liberal churches by the middle of the century
Source: Church Growth Modelling
ET staff writer
ET staff writer
14 June, 2022 2 min read

Evangelical churches are increasing in size in the UK, but older more liberal denominations are facing ‘extinction’, according to mathematician Dr John Hayward.

He examined statistics of UK denominations between the years 2000 and 2020. He used the annual rate of change of membership for the five years to 2020 to estimate the current strength of the denominations.

He writes, ‘A person would have to be a recluse not to know that a new ideology has been taking hold in Western societies over the last few decades.

Hayward writes, ‘We heard about R numbers during the Covid outbreak. For churches, I call it the “Reproduction Potential”.’

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